WN 1120 · BZN → MDW

took off 1:44 PM MT · landed 5:11 PM CT (scheduled 12:49 PM MT → 4:55 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MDW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Visibility down to 1.75 mi forecast at BZN that day

Weather at each end

BZN (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.94 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1120 · BZN → MDW

Odds over time

How late did it get to MDW?