WN 1151 · ALB → DEN

departs 4:18 PM ET · arrives 6:16 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts −17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at ALB that day

Weather at each end

ALB (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.02 in

DEN (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1151 · ALB → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?