WN 115 · BNA → GSP

departs 6:50 PM CT · arrives 9:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at GSP more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GSP?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into GSP at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GSP

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GSP (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 115 · BNA → GSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to GSP?