WN 116 · OMA → LGA

took off 1:07 PM CT · expected to land 4:24 PM ET (scheduled 1:04 PM CT → 4:58 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LGA?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at OMA that day

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ OMA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

OMA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.50 in

LGA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 116 · OMA → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?