WN 1193 · BWI → FLL

took off 1:03 PM ET · landed 3:32 PM ET (scheduled 12:54 PM ET → 3:46 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to FLL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1193 · BWI → FLL

Odds over time

How late did it get to FLL?