WN 1198 · MCO → ISP

took off 12:28 PM ET · landed 2:46 PM ET (scheduled 12:11 PM ET → 2:56 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at ISP more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ISP?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↑ 12pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Arrivals into ISP at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ ISP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ISP (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1198 · MCO → ISP

Odds over time

How late did it get to ISP?