WN 1200 · COS → PHX

departs 6:52 AM MT · arrives 7:43 AM MT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 38 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at COS that day

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ COS is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from COS are usually not late

Weather at each end

COS (origin) Gusts38 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.72 in

PHX (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1200 · COS → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?