Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1217 LANDED 12:48 PM ET, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

WN 1217 · PVD → BWI

took off 11:51 AM ET · landed 12:48 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ PVD is prone to delays

↑ 11am departures from PVD are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

Weather at each end

PVD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1217 · PVD → BWI

Odds over time