WN 1219 · DEN → BZN

departs 5:55 PM MT · arrives 7:40 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts −27 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BZN?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BZN (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1219 · DEN → BZN

Odds over time

How late will it get to BZN?