WN 1226 · DAL → TUL

departs 4:49 PM CT · arrives 6:04 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TUL?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at TUL that day

↑ 4pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ TUL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.14 in

TUL (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.34 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1226 · DAL → TUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to TUL?