Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1232 LANDED 6:37 AM PT, ~2 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

WN 1232 · OKC → LAS

took off 6:29 AM CT · landed 6:37 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 2.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at OKC that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from OKC are usually not late

Weather at each end

OKC (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.62 in

LAS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1232 · OKC → LAS

Odds over time