WN 123 · DEN → ABQ

departs 8:33 PM MT · arrives 9:58 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±1 pts −21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ABQ?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ ABQ usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

ABQ (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 123 · DEN → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?