WN 1256 · MHT → BWI

departs 10:10 AM ET · arrives 11:50 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MHT (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1256 · MHT → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?