Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1274 LANDED 7:46 AM ET, ~11 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

WN 1274 · FLL → MCO

took off 7:09 AM ET · landed 7:46 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ MCO is busy at that time

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

MCO (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1274 · FLL → MCO

Odds over time