WN 1278 · DAL → ATL

departs 12:30 PM CT · arrives 3:48 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts −17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ 12pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

ATL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1278 · DAL → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?