WN 1304 · PHX → DAL

departs 10:46 AM MT · arrives 3:11 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1304 · PHX → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?