WN 130 · DAL → MDW

departs 6:06 AM CT · arrives 8:25 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from DAL are usually not late

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

MDW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.50 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 130 · DAL → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?