WN 1316 · AUS → LAX

departs 6:32 PM CT · arrives 7:47 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

55% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
33%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ 6pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ AUS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.14 in

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1316 · AUS → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?