WN 1319 · DAL → MCO

departs 1:03 PM CT · arrives 4:34 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DAL that day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

MCO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1319 · DAL → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?