Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1340
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 1340 · AUS → MCO
departs 5:00 PM CT · arrives 8:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/6 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±4 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at AUS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling 1,800 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.03 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.