WN 1353 · DAL → RDU

departs 3:29 PM CT · arrives 7:17 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±2 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ 3pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.14 in

RDU (destination) Gusts3 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1353 · DAL → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?