WN 1353 · SAT → DAL

took off 2:07 PM CT · expected to land 2:49 PM CT (scheduled 1:29 PM CT → 2:44 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DAL?

LIVE

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SAT that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

DAL (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1353 · SAT → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?