WN 1361 · DAL → SAT

departs 8:23 PM CT · arrives 9:33 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts +40 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 8pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

SAT (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1361 · DAL → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?