WN 1365 · BWI → ROC

departs 10:53 AM ET · arrives 12:09 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ROC?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ BWI is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ROC (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1365 · BWI → ROC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ROC?