Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1381
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 1381 · DAL → PHX
departs 12:20 PM CT · arrives 12:45 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/6 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 28 kt
Ceiling 2,700 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.14 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 6 kt
Ceiling 11,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.