Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1390 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Wednesday, September 30

WN 1390 · BNA → LGB

took off 6:32 PM CT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 5:35 PM CT → 8:12 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LGB?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at LGB that day

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGB (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1390 · BNA → LGB

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGB?