WN 139 · DAL → PHX

departs 4:16 PM CT · arrives 4:53 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
32%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ 4pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

PHX (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 139 · DAL → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?