WN 1400 · DAL → STL

departs 6:46 PM CT · arrives 8:38 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
28%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

STL (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1400 · DAL → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?