WN 1430 · SAT → STL

took off 7:30 AM CT · landed 9:11 AM CT (scheduled 7:07 AM CT → 9:28 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to STL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from SAT are usually not late

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

STL (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1430 · SAT → STL

Odds over time

How late did it get to STL?