WN 1452 · MCO → SJU

took off 6:17 PM ET · landed 8:43 PM AT (scheduled 6:01 PM ET → 9:01 PM AT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SJU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJU

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ SJU usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJU (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1452 · MCO → SJU

Odds over time

How late did it get to SJU?