WN 1454 · DEN → BNA

departs 2:18 PM MT · arrives 5:45 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↑ 2pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

BNA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1454 · DEN → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?