Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1461 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

WN 1461 · DEN → BOI

departs 9:33 PM MT · arrives 10:58 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BOI more than 15 minutes late?

88% chance · ±0 pts +30 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 9pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

BOI (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1461 · DEN → BOI

Odds over time