WN 1465 · DEN → BUR

took off 2:04 PM MT · expected to land 2:58 PM PT (scheduled 1:07 PM MT → 2:46 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±0 pts −31 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BUR?

LIVE

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
42%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUR (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1465 · DEN → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?