WN 146 · PWM → BWI

departs 1:07 PM ET · arrives 2:51 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from PWM are often late

↑ PWM is prone to delays

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

Weather at each end

PWM (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,033 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 146 · PWM → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?