WN 1476 · OGG → KOA

departs 1:29 PM HT · arrives 2:23 PM HT

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at KOA more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to KOA?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ KOA is prone to delays

↑ 1pm departures from OGG are often late

↑ Arrivals into KOA at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OGG

Weather at each end

OGG (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

KOA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1476 · OGG → KOA

Odds over time

How late will it get to KOA?