Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1478 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

WN 1478 · FLL → BWI

departs 3:12 PM ET · arrives 5:23 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↑ Other factors

↑ 3pm departures from FLL are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.16 in

BWI (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1478 · FLL → BWI

Odds over time