WN 1481 · DEN → COS

took off 9:37 AM MT · landed 9:58 AM MT (scheduled 8:59 AM MT → 9:46 AM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to COS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 36 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at COS that day

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Arrivals into COS at that hour are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

COS (destination) Gusts36 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.87 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1481 · DEN → COS

Odds over time

How late did it get to COS?