WN 1486 · DEN → DAL

departs 7:37 PM MT · arrives 10:29 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

84% chance · ±0 pts +38 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
16%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
31%
1–2 hours late
25%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ 7pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility9.33333 mi Precip0.11 in

DAL (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1486 · DEN → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?