WN 1489 · BWI → RIC

took off 10:36 AM ET · landed 11:05 AM ET (scheduled 8:56 AM ET → 9:49 AM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RIC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ BWI is busy at that time

↑ BWI is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RIC (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1489 · BWI → RIC

Odds over time

How late did it get to RIC?