WN 149 · HOU → MDW

took off 7:11 AM CT · expected to land 9:13 AM CT (scheduled 6:56 AM CT → 9:32 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MDW?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from HOU are usually not late

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

MDW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.47 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 149 · HOU → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?