WN 1502 · DEN → GRR

departs 5:01 PM MT · arrives 9:23 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?

65% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GRR?

On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ 5pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at GRR that day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ GRR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.35 in

GRR (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1502 · DEN → GRR

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRR?