WN 1515 · BNA → TYS

took off 5:42 PM CT · landed 7:12 PM ET (scheduled 4:56 PM CT → 6:56 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to TYS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ BNA is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TYS (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1515 · BNA → TYS

Odds over time

How late did it get to TYS?