WN 1522 · DAL → STL

departs 12:40 PM CT · arrives 2:27 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

STL (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1522 · DAL → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?