Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1525 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

WN 1525 · LAS → BUR

departs 5:47 PM PT · arrives 6:30 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUR (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1525 · LAS → BUR

Odds over time