WN 1527 · DEN → LAS

departs 1:15 PM MT · arrives 2:11 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±10 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ 1pm departures from DEN are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.11 in

LAS (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1527 · DEN → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?