WN 1535 · STL → DAL

took off 3:33 PM CT · landed 4:54 PM CT (scheduled 2:38 PM CT → 4:25 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±2 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DAL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day

↑ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1535 · STL → DAL

Odds over time

How late did it get to DAL?