Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1540 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

WN 1540 · ELP → DAL

departs 11:33 AM MT · arrives 1:50 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ 11am departures from ELP are usually not late

Weather at each end

ELP (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1540 · ELP → DAL

Odds over time