WN 1563 · DEN → MDW

departs 7:18 PM MT · arrives 10:42 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MDW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

MDW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.00 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1563 · DEN → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?