Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1570 LANDED 3:15 PM CT, ~2 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

WN 1570 · BNA → ECP

took off 2:21 PM CT · landed 3:15 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ BNA is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ECP (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1570 · BNA → ECP

Odds over time