WN 159 · MCO → ORF

took off 9:53 AM ET · landed 11:24 AM ET (scheduled 9:39 AM ET → 11:43 AM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ORF?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ 9am departures from MCO are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORF (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 159 · MCO → ORF

Odds over time

How late did it get to ORF?